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Last updated on: 2020-10-06 18:14:45 ET

Final Update: 2020-10-05 was our last model update. This page will no longer be maintained. For more information, read Youyang Gu's blog post. Follow @youyanggu on Twitter for continued COVID-19 insights. Thank you for your support over the past year.

Europe: We assume a late-May reopening.

Disclaimer: Our projections are optimized for the United States. Please make sure to also consult your local health officials and experts. Read our full assumptions and limitations here.

Population: 4,043,263

Tests per day target by November 1: 74,442 (assumes 40% asymptomatic and 10 contacts tested per infection)