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Last updated on: 2020-10-06 18:14:51 ET

Final Update: 2020-10-05 was our last model update. This page will no longer be maintained. For more information, read Youyang Gu's blog post. Follow @youyanggu on Twitter for continued COVID-19 insights. Thank you for your support over the past year.

Europe: We assume a late-May reopening.

Spain note: On May 26, Spain revised their deaths downwards by nearly 2,000 from 28,752 to 26,834 deaths.On June 19, Spain added 1,179 deaths, raising the total from 27,136 to 28,315 deaths.

Disclaimer: Our projections are optimized for the United States. Please make sure to also consult your local health officials and experts. Read our full assumptions and limitations here.

Population: 46,937,060

Tests per day target by November 1: 473,055 (assumes 40% asymptomatic and 10 contacts tested per infection)