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Last updated on: 2020-10-06 18:13:26 ET

Final Update: 2020-10-05 was our last model update. This page will no longer be maintained. For more information, read Youyang Gu's blog post. Follow @youyanggu on Twitter for continued COVID-19 insights. Thank you for your support over the past year.

Approximate Reopen Date: May 1, 2020
US reopening timelines according to The New York Times. All reopenings are assumed to be gradual. Read more about our reopening assumptions here.

Related forecasts: US || Texas || Counties: Bexar | Dallas | Harris | Tarrant

Mar 2020Apr 2020May 2020Jun 2020Jul 2020Aug 2020Sep 2020Oct 2020Nov 2020010020030005k10k15k20k012
US | TexasCurrent deaths: 16,320 | Projected total deaths: 18,660 (by Nov 1)Deaths per dayTotal deathsRDeaths per dayTotal deathsReproduction number - R_t (estimate)
Population: 28,995,881

Tests per day target by November 1: 224,381 (assumes 40% asymptomatic and 10 contacts tested per infection)
Mar 2020Apr 2020May 2020Jun 2020Jul 2020Aug 2020Sep 2020Oct 2020Nov 2020050k100k00.5M1M1.5M05M10M
US | TexasNewly Infected: 28,411 | Total Infected: 22.2% (As of Oct 5)Newly infectedCurrently infectedTotal infectedNewly infected (estimate)Currently infected (estimate)Total infected (estimate)