Back to covid19-projections.com

Last updated on: 2020-10-06 18:13:12 ET

Final Update: 2020-10-05 was our last model update. This page will no longer be maintained. For more information, read Youyang Gu's blog post. Follow @youyanggu on Twitter for continued COVID-19 insights. Thank you for your support over the past year.

Approximate Reopen Date: Jun 1, 2020
US reopening timelines according to The New York Times. All reopenings are assumed to be gradual. Read more about our reopening assumptions here.

Related forecasts: US || California || Counties: Alameda | Los Angeles | Orange | Riverside | Sacramento | San Bernardino | San Diego | Santa Clara

Mar 2020Apr 2020May 2020Jun 2020Jul 2020Aug 2020Sep 2020Oct 2020Nov 2020010020005k10k15k20k00.511.52
US | CaliforniaCurrent deaths: 16,147 | Projected total deaths: 17,987 (by Nov 1)Deaths per dayTotal deathsRDeaths per dayTotal deathsReproduction number - R_t (estimate)
Population: 39,512,223

Tests per day target by November 1: 155,127 (assumes 40% asymptomatic and 10 contacts tested per infection)
Mar 2020Apr 2020May 2020Jun 2020Jul 2020Aug 2020Sep 2020Oct 2020Nov 2020050k100k00.5M1M1.5M05M10M
US | CaliforniaNewly Infected: 18,885 | Total Infected: 13.0% (As of Oct 5)Newly infectedCurrently infectedTotal infectedNewly infected (estimate)Currently infected (estimate)Total infected (estimate)