Back to

Last updated on: 2020-10-06 18:15:11 ET

Final Update: 2020-10-05 was our last model update. This page will no longer be maintained. For more information, read Youyang Gu's blog post. Follow @youyanggu on Twitter for continued COVID-19 insights. Thank you for your support over the past year.

Approximate Reopen Date: May 23, 2020
US reopening timelines according to The New York Times. All reopenings are assumed to be gradual. Read more about our reopening assumptions here.

Related forecasts: US || California || Counties: Alameda | Los Angeles | Orange | Riverside | Sacramento | San Bernardino | San Diego | Santa Clara

Population: 2,450,758

Tests per day target by November 1: 12,184 (assumes 40% asymptomatic and 10 contacts tested per infection)